Busiest Polymarket politics markets
The Polymarket politics markets with the most buying in the last 30 days, each with how many traders came out ahead and how the traders with strong records did. Aggregates only.
Window: 2026-10-02 · 30d · "Traders with strong records" means, over the same 30-day window: at least 20 markets won or lost, a win-rate lower bound (95% interval) of at least 55%, and a profit that survives removing their best market. Their figures are not shown when fewer than 5 of them traded a market.
- LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? · 920 traders · $942k
- Trump renames AI by September 30? · 2,627 traders · $925k
- LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? · 831 traders · $700k
- Trump out as President by September 30? · 868 traders · $678k
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? · 809 traders · $522k
- LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? · 617 traders · $494k