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Trump out as President by September 30?

Politics · Resolved

In the 30-day window ending 2026-10-02, 868 traders traded or held this market, buying $677.8k and selling $184.8k across 2,739 fills.

The market has resolved. On their results for the window, 676 traders came out ahead on it and 152 behind.

Traders868
Bought$677,824
Sold$184,826
Fills2,739
Window: 2026-10-02 · 30d · Aggregates only: PMWallets does not list individual traders per market.

Traders with strong records

21 traders with strong records traded this market: 20 came out ahead and 1 behind. Only the counts are published — a sum over a group can be one member's exact figure.

"Traders with strong records" means, over the same 30-day window: at least 20 markets won or lost, a win-rate lower bound (95% interval) of at least 55%, and a profit that survives removing their best market. Their figures are not shown when fewer than 5 of them traded a market.