Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?

Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner · Politics · Open

In the 30-day window ending 2026-10-04, 862 traders traded or held this market, buying $475.3k and selling $51.5k across 4,874 fills.

The market is still open. Valued at recent prices, 220 traders are currently ahead on it and 624 behind.

Traders862

Bought$475,273

Sold$51,466

Fills4,874

Window: 2026-10-04 · 30d · Aggregates only: PMWallets does not list individual traders per market.

Traders with strong records

28 traders with strong records traded this market: 5 are ahead and 22 behind. Only the counts are published — a sum over a group can be one member's exact figure.

This is not a forecast: it says how traders with good records are doing on this market so far, at recent prices, and it changes until the market resolves.

"Traders with strong records" means, over the same 30-day window: at least 20 markets won or lost, a win-rate lower bound (95% interval) of at least 55%, and a profit that survives removing their best market. Their figures are not shown when fewer than 5 of them traded a market.

View this market on Polymarket ↗Category board →How to read a trader's record →