Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? · Politics · Open

In the 30-day window ending 2026-10-10, 286 traders traded or held this market, buying $486.9k and selling $31.5k across 916 fills.

The market is still open. Valued at recent prices, 134 traders are currently ahead on it and 125 behind.

Traders286

Bought$486,925

Sold$31,529

Fills916

Window: 2026-10-10 · 30d · Aggregates only: PMWallets does not list individual traders per market.

Traders with strong records

13 traders with strong records traded this market: 6 are ahead and 2 behind. Only the counts are published — a sum over a group can be one member's exact figure.

This is not a forecast: it says how traders with good records are doing on this market so far, at recent prices, and it changes until the market resolves.

"Traders with strong records" means, over the same 30-day window: at least 20 markets won or lost, a win-rate lower bound (95% interval) of at least 55%, and a profit that survives removing their best market. Their figures are not shown when fewer than 5 of them traded a market.

View this market on Polymarket ↗Category board →How to read a trader's record →