Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?

Which Tossup Senate States Will Republicans Win? (AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX) · Politics · Open

In the 30-day window ending 2026-11-02, 419 traders traded or held this market, buying $873.8k and selling $150.3k across 2,600 fills.

The market is still open. Valued at recent prices, 111 traders are currently ahead on it and 270 behind.

Traders419

Bought$873,822

Sold$150,260

Fills2,600

Window: 2026-11-02 · 30d · Aggregates only: PMWallets does not list individual traders per market.

Traders with strong records

13 traders with strong records traded this market: 1 are ahead and 12 behind. Only the counts are published — a sum over a group can be one member's exact figure.

This is not a forecast: it says how traders with good records are doing on this market so far, at recent prices, and it changes until the market resolves.

"Traders with strong records" means, over the same 30-day window: at least 20 markets won or lost, a win-rate lower bound (95% interval) of at least 55%, and a profit that survives removing their best market. Their figures are not shown when fewer than 5 of them traded a market.

View this market on Polymarket ↗Category board →How to read a trader's record →