Busiest Polymarket markets
The Polymarket markets with the most buying over the last 30 days, each with how its traders did — and how the traders with strong records did — computed from the Polygon chain.
Window: 2026-10-03 · 30d · Aggregates only: PMWallets does not list individual traders per market. "Traders with strong records" means, over the same 30-day window: at least 20 markets won or lost, a win-rate lower bound (95% interval) of at least 55%, and a profit that survives removing their best market. Their figures are not shown when fewer than 5 of them traded a market.
Sports
- Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? · 4,838 traders · $12.3M
- Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17? · 1,623 traders · $8.9M
- Rams vs. Broncos · 1,707 traders · $8.4M
- Eagles vs. Bears · 2,179 traders · $8.3M
- Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06? · 1,928 traders · $8.2M
- Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? · 1,931 traders · $6.5M
- Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11? · 3,756 traders · $6.2M
- US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz · 2,336 traders · $6.2M
- Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-09? · 1,229 traders · $6.1M
- US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen · 4,746 traders · $6.1M
Politics
- Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? · 123 traders · $1.6M
- LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? · 920 traders · $942k
- Trump renames AI by September 30? · 2,627 traders · $925k
- LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? · 831 traders · $700k
- Trump out as President by September 30? · 868 traders · $678k
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? · 809 traders · $522k
- LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? · 617 traders · $494k
Crypto
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September? · 1,107 traders · $1.6M
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? · 1,818 traders · $1.3M
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? · 219 traders · $1.2M
- Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? · 1,117 traders · $950k
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? · 1,072 traders · $922k
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? · 721 traders · $716k
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September? · 1,341 traders · $650k
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September? · 710 traders · $583k
- Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September? · 623 traders · $576k
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September? · 728 traders · $524k
Esports
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs · 1,978 traders · $4.0M
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs · 2,607 traders · $3.5M
- LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK Playoffs · 1,710 traders · $2.6M
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner · 1,330 traders · $2.5M
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner · 1,299 traders · $2.4M
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs · 1,454 traders · $2.3M
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs magic (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B · 695 traders · $2.3M
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Playoffs · 2,061 traders · $2.2M
- LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs · 1,862 traders · $2.2M
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs · 1,643 traders · $2.1M
Economy
- Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? · 169 traders · $704k
Geopolitics
- Israel closes its airspace by September 30? · 1,821 traders · $1.9M
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · 3,044 traders · $1.6M
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · 1,564 traders · $1.5M
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? · 1,182 traders · $734k
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? · 1,773 traders · $703k
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · 759 traders · $691k
- Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · 2,560 traders · $647k
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? · 583 traders · $588k
- Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? · 775 traders · $511k
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? · 1,766 traders · $494k
Other
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? · 918 traders · $634k
- Northwestern vs. Indiana · 254 traders · $592k
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? · 2,202 traders · $474k
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September? · 316 traders · $459k