Polymarket 最活跃的市场
近 30 天买入最多的 Polymarket 市场,每个都附上交易者的整体表现,以及战绩好的交易者表现如何 —— 从 Polygon 链上算出。
窗口: 2026-10-02 · 30d · 只含聚合数据:PMWallets 不按市场列出单个交易者。 「战绩好的交易者」指在同一 30 天窗口里:至少 20 个市场分出输赢、胜率 95% 置信区间下限不低于 55%、整体盈利且去掉最赚一场后仍盈利。人数少于 5 时不显示他们的数字。
体育
- Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? · 4,838 交易者 · $12.3M
- Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17? · 1,623 交易者 · $8.9M
- Rams vs. Broncos · 1,707 交易者 · $8.4M
- Eagles vs. Bears · 2,179 交易者 · $8.3M
- Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-06? · 1,928 交易者 · $8.2M
- Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? · 1,931 交易者 · $6.5M
- Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11? · 3,756 交易者 · $6.2M
- US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz · 2,336 交易者 · $6.2M
- Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-09? · 1,229 交易者 · $6.1M
- US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen · 4,746 交易者 · $6.1M
政治
- LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? · 920 交易者 · $942k
- Trump renames AI by September 30? · 2,627 交易者 · $925k
- LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? · 831 交易者 · $700k
- Trump out as President by September 30? · 868 交易者 · $678k
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? · 809 交易者 · $522k
- LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? · 617 交易者 · $494k
加密
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September? · 1,107 交易者 · $1.6M
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? · 1,818 交易者 · $1.3M
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? · 219 交易者 · $1.2M
- Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? · 1,117 交易者 · $950k
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September? · 1,072 交易者 · $930k
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? · 721 交易者 · $719k
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September? · 1,341 交易者 · $654k
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September? · 710 交易者 · $586k
- Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September? · 623 交易者 · $576k
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September? · 728 交易者 · $524k
电竞
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs · 1,978 交易者 · $4.0M
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs · 2,607 交易者 · $3.5M
- LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK Playoffs · 1,710 交易者 · $2.6M
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner · 1,330 交易者 · $2.5M
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner · 1,299 交易者 · $2.4M
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs · 1,454 交易者 · $2.3M
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs magic (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B · 695 交易者 · $2.3M
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Playoffs · 2,061 交易者 · $2.3M
- LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs · 1,862 交易者 · $2.2M
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs · 1,643 交易者 · $2.1M
地缘
- Israel closes its airspace by September 30? · 1,821 交易者 · $1.9M
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · 3,044 交易者 · $1.6M
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · 1,564 交易者 · $1.5M
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? · 1,182 交易者 · $740k
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? · 1,772 交易者 · $704k
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · 756 交易者 · $663k
- Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · 2,560 交易者 · $647k
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? · 577 交易者 · $582k
- Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? · 775 交易者 · $513k
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? · 1,766 交易者 · $502k
其他
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? · 918 交易者 · $634k
- Northwestern vs. Indiana · 254 交易者 · $592k
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September? · 2,202 交易者 · $475k
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September? · 316 交易者 · $459k