Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? · Geopolitics · Resolved

In the 30-day window ending 2026-10-03, 462 traders traded or held this market, buying $478.3k and selling $445.3k across 1,478 fills.

The market has resolved. On their results for the window, 304 traders came out ahead on it and 105 behind.

Traders462

Bought$478,329

Sold$445,348

Fills1,478

Window: 2026-10-03 · 30d · Aggregates only: PMWallets does not list individual traders per market.

Traders with strong records

15 traders with strong records traded this market: 13 came out ahead and 2 behind. Only the counts are published — a sum over a group can be one member's exact figure.

"Traders with strong records" means, over the same 30-day window: at least 20 markets won or lost, a win-rate lower bound (95% interval) of at least 55%, and a profit that survives removing their best market. Their figures are not shown when fewer than 5 of them traded a market.

View this market on Polymarket ↗Category board →How to read a trader's record →