Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?

Geopolitics · Open

In the 30-day window ending 2026-10-11, 831 traders traded or held this market, buying $470.2k and selling $207.1k across 6,435 fills.

The market is still open. Valued at recent prices, 315 traders are currently ahead on it and 477 behind.

Traders831

Bought$470,190

Sold$207,068

Fills6,435

Window: 2026-10-11 · 30d · Aggregates only: PMWallets does not list individual traders per market.

Traders with strong records

37 traders with strong records traded this market: 27 are ahead and 9 behind. Only the counts are published — a sum over a group can be one member's exact figure.

This is not a forecast: it says how traders with good records are doing on this market so far, at recent prices, and it changes until the market resolves.

"Traders with strong records" means, over the same 30-day window: at least 20 markets won or lost, a win-rate lower bound (95% interval) of at least 55%, and a profit that survives removing their best market. Their figures are not shown when fewer than 5 of them traded a market.

View this market on Polymarket ↗Category board →How to read a trader's record →