US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause) · Geopolitics · Resolved

In the 30-day window ending 2026-10-02, 1,772 traders traded or held this market, buying $704.1k and selling $131.5k across 8,482 fills.

The market has resolved. On their results for the window, 929 traders came out ahead on it and 830 behind.

Traders1,772

Bought$704,115

Sold$131,479

Fills8,482

Window: 2026-10-02 · 30d · Aggregates only: PMWallets does not list individual traders per market.

Traders with strong records

49 traders with strong records traded this market: 42 came out ahead and 6 behind. Only the counts are published — a sum over a group can be one member's exact figure.

"Traders with strong records" means, over the same 30-day window: at least 20 markets won or lost, a win-rate lower bound (95% interval) of at least 55%, and a profit that survives removing their best market. Their figures are not shown when fewer than 5 of them traded a market.

View this market on Polymarket ↗Category board →How to read a trader's record →