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US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

Geopolitics · Open

In the 30-day window ending 2026-10-21, 407 traders traded or held this market, buying $501.6k and selling $273.1k across 3,468 fills.

The market is still open. Valued at recent prices, 204 traders are currently ahead on it and 178 behind.

Traders407
Bought$501,633
Sold$273,077
Fills3,468
Window: 2026-10-21 · 30d · Aggregates only: PMWallets does not list individual traders per market.

Traders with strong records

24 traders with strong records traded this market: 14 are ahead and 9 behind. Only the counts are published — a sum over a group can be one member's exact figure.

This is not a forecast: it says how traders with good records are doing on this market so far, at recent prices, and it changes until the market resolves.

"Traders with strong records" means, over the same 30-day window: at least 20 markets won or lost, a win-rate lower bound (95% interval) of at least 55%, and a profit that survives removing their best market. Their figures are not shown when fewer than 5 of them traded a market.