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Polymarket trader 4AJQK812N8HB

Geopolitics specialist · two-sided traderTwo-sided M 28% · T 72%QUIET
Address: 0xb26c…0eb0 · masked — the address is what PMWallets sellsListed: #18 among geopolitics specialists

Over the last 30 days, 76% of 4AJQK812N8HB's traded value was in geopolitics markets.

It is a two-sided trader: 28% of its traded value was on the maker side.

Of the settled markets counted in this window, it won 13 and lost 1: a win rate of 93%, with a 95% confidence interval of 69%–99%.

Realised profit was +$4.1k; without its single most profitable market, +$1.0k. Unrealised PnL on open positions was +$167.09 and is not ranked.

It made 191 fills over 23 active days (first fill in the window: 2026-10-04), bought $34.3k, paid $3.49 in fees, and returned 12% on what it bought.

Figures, last 30 days

Realised PnL+$4,059
Without best market+$1,039
Unrealised PnL+$167
Return on buys12.3%
Won / lost13 / 1
Win rate (95% CI)93% (69%–99%)
Markets traded90
Fills191
Active days23
Bought$34,290
Fees paid$3.49
Wallets1
Categories, by traded value
Geopolitics 76%Politics 23%Economy 1%
Last 30 days, computed from the Polygon chain. This page refreshes hourly.

Reading this record

  • The win rate's lower bound is 69% over 14 decided markets.
  • Only 14 decided markets: a small sample, so the win-rate interval is wide.
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