Top Polymarket geopolitics traders

Wars and ceasefires, diplomacy, sanctions and international events. Outcomes often hinge on news, so check whether a record comes from many markets or one big call.

Listed: traders who did at least 50% of their trading in this category and won or lost at least 10 markets in the window, ranked by realised profit. Last 30 days. Recomputed about every 6 hours; this page refreshes hourly.

#	Trader	Realised PnL	Won / lost	Win rate (low)	Style	Share	Status
1	NR01VW9GJ8MM 0xdf17…97d1	+$56,814	52 / 14	67%	Two-sided M 60% · T 40%	78%	ACTIVE
2	3J3TJGD9PD3S 0x62cf…5826	+$34,917	19 / 8	52%	Two-sided M 63% · T 37%	90%	ACTIVE
3	2CCAP64HPB62 0xd71b…c83b	+$26,174	293 / 11	94%	Two-sided M 37% · T 63%	58%	ACTIVE
4	CJ8JW0TKRJXA 0x8a33…7914	+$22,301	26 / 69	19%	Taker M 17% · T 83%	61%	ACTIVE
5	NNVMZE0NJAAY 0x5b2e…9b47	+$19,553	12 / 7	41%	Taker M 3% · T 97%	55%	ACTIVE
6	9KZHD7JVNNEW 0x3677…cb9e	+$19,149	20 / 10	49%	Two-sided M 76% · T 24%	78%	ACTIVE
7	PQNT87DP5ATJ 0x7c3d…5c6b	+$15,996	59 / 49	45%	Two-sided M 58% · T 42%	67%	ACTIVE
8	RVXKKGAB7QPD 0x9b65…e0db	+$13,948	13 / 2	62%	Two-sided M 48% · T 52%	64%	ACTIVE
9	5B9Z2EECA4M5 0x3fd0…0022	+$7,708	13 / 2	62%	Two-sided M 71% · T 29%	58%	ACTIVE
10	PA4Z3J6XRBZ1 0x5671…13ef	+$7,648	50 / 4	82%	Two-sided M 74% · T 26%	74%	ACTIVE
11	77Z9T63QJSX1 0x3a23…0f72	+$6,888	17 / 45	18%	Two-sided M 57% · T 43%	85%	ACTIVE
12	ZF8SAYK1CGPX 0x2525…b919	+$6,791	15 / 7	47%	Two-sided M 66% · T 34%	64%	ACTIVE
13	52TT5QGQJQ61 0x1a40…a7ef	+$6,131	19 / 2	71%	Two-sided M 23% · T 77%	60%	QUIET
14	13KB29JGMVKG 0x965f…98d2	+$5,461	11 / 17	24%	Two-sided M 28% · T 72%	50%	ACTIVE
15	P980046GN2X7 0x57b0…76f4	+$4,924	37 / 12	62%	Maker M 86% · T 14%	66%	ACTIVE
16	ZZZ19A9M0N8B 0xf65b…fe54	+$4,825	12 / 8	39%	Two-sided M 46% · T 54%	59%	QUIET
17	SA15TPTKFF1N 0xedd9…f7ef	+$4,495	15 / 36	19%	Maker M 98% · T 2%	99%	DORMANT
18	Q438539RV60K 0xf5dc…5d81	+$4,076	94 / 87	45%	Two-sided M 66% · T 34%	62%	ACTIVE
19	RQ37NZB01XX7 0xfdad…1ee2	+$3,880	20 / 6	58%	Maker M 83% · T 17%	69%	ACTIVE
20	6XZD09M88442 0x0c0e…434e	+$3,847	21 / 0	85%	Two-sided M 77% · T 23%	63%	ACTIVE

Win rate (low) is the lower bound of the 95% confidence interval: at least this good, given how many markets were decided.Traders are shown by a random handle with the address masked. The full address is what PMWallets sells. 422,715 entities scored in this window.

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